Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Jan 19, 2023 03:05

Venados FC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Venados FC Form LWDDW
STABLE
Alebrijes de O… Form DLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS33%
Under 2.544%
Venados FC Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Alebrijes d… Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Venados FC
vs
0.44
Alebrijes de O…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Venados FC
+4
Gap
#13
Alebrijes d…
WR 40% 18 pts WR 33% 13 pts
Venados FC 12.0%
Sep 30 Venados… v Tapatío 1-0
Sep 26 Venados… v CA La P… 3-0
Aug 11 Venados… v Dorados 1-1
Jul 08 Venados… v Alebrij… 0-0
Mar 30 Venados… v Dorados 2-1
Feb 09 Venados… v Alebrij… 1-0
Jan 20 Venados… v Tapatío 1-0
Nov 18 Venados… v Tapatío 3-0
Oct 28 Venados… v Dorados 3-0
Oct 06 Venados… v Alebrij… 1-1
Alebrijes de O… 8.0%
Oct 22 Alebrij… v Monarcas 1-1
Aug 27 Alebrij… v Monarcas 1-3
Aug 17 Alebrij… v Cancún 0-0
Aug 11 Alebrij… v Mineros… 2-2
Jul 08 Alebrij… v Venados… 0-0
Feb 22 Alebrij… v Mineros… 4-2
Feb 09 Alebrij… v Venados… 1-0
Jan 29 Alebrij… v Monarcas 1-1
Jan 06 Alebrij… v Cancún 2-0
Nov 10 Alebrij… v Cancún 1-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de … 0-0 Venados FC
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de … 1-0 Venados FC
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1-1 Alebrijes de …
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2-2 Alebrijes de …
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.