AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX May 13, 2023

TapatĂ­o

Home
VS
23:00

Atlante FC

Away
AI Predictions 46.5% Confidence
TapatĂ­o Win
46.5%
Draw
24.7%
Atlante FC Win
28.8%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.95 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
TapatĂ­o Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 0-2
Mar 23 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 0-0
Jan 29 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 2-0
Oct 13 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 3-2
Sep 30 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 1-0
Sep 24 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 3-2
Mar 02 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Jan 20 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 1-0
Nov 18 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 3-0
Apr 09 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 1-1
Atlante FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 31 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 0-0
Aug 29 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Mar 27 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 2-1
Nov 07 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Atlante FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

TapatĂ­o Position

-10

Position Gap

1

Atlante FC Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.