AI Match Insights

Liga MX Apr 06, 2024

León FC

Home
VS
23:00

Querétaro

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
León FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Querétaro Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.99 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
León FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Querétaro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
León FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 León FC vs Puebla 2-1
Feb 22 León FC vs Cruz Azul 2-3
Feb 08 León FC vs Pachuca 3-2
Jan 18 León FC vs Tigres UA… 1-2
Nov 01 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Oct 29 León FC vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Sep 30 León FC vs Querétaro 1-1
Jul 16 León FC vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Jul 11 León FC vs Pachuca 4-0
May 04 León FC vs Tigres UA… 3-1
Querétaro Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Querétaro vs Pachuca 1-2
Feb 10 Querétaro vs Club Tiju… 1-1
Nov 01 Querétaro vs Guadalaja… 1-2
Oct 22 Querétaro vs Club Tiju… 1-0
Oct 05 Querétaro vs U.N.A.M. … 4-0
Sep 30 Querétaro vs León FC 1-1
Aug 21 Querétaro vs Pachuca 1-1
Aug 04 Querétaro vs U.N.A.M. … 0-1
Jul 30 Querétaro vs Club Tiju… 0-1
Jun 24 Querétaro vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • León FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2023 Querétaro 1 - 1 León FC Liga MX
Feb 10, 2023 Querétaro 0 - 3 León FC Liga MX
Sep 19, 2022 León FC 3 - 1 Querétaro Liga MX
Apr 03, 2022 León FC 1 - 1 Querétaro Liga MX
Aug 06, 2021 Querétaro 0 - 1 León FC Liga MX
May 02, 2021 León FC 2 - 1 Querétaro Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: León FC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
León FC Power 0
Querétaro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

León FC Position

+4

Position Gap

16

Querétaro Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.