Liga MX · Feb 21, 2022 00:05
Toluca
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Toluca Form
WLL
STABLE
Cruz Azul Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS52%
Under 2.553%
Toluca Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Tolucavs
1.15
Cruz AzulDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Toluca-3
Gap#2
Cruz Azul
WR 100% 8 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Toluca
6.7%
| Jan 16 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Nov 06 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 4-0 |
Cruz Azul
12.0%
| Jan 16 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul | 4-0 | Toluca |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.