Predictions Match Details
Liga MX · Aug 14, 2022 22:00

Cruz Azul
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

Toluca
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form DLWDL
STABLE
Toluca Form DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Toluca Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Cruz Azul
vs
0.20
Toluca
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul
+3
Gap
#5
Toluca
WR 100% 9 pts WR 33% 8 pts
Cruz Azul 8.0%
Jul 24 Cruz Az… v Puebla 2-2
Jul 16 Cruz Az… v Atlas 3-2
Jul 03 Cruz Az… v Tigres … 2-3
Jun 27 Cruz Az… v Atlas 2-2
Apr 17 Cruz Az… v Guadala… 0-1
Apr 03 Cruz Az… v Atlas 1-0
Mar 06 Cruz Az… v Puebla 1-3
Feb 21 Cruz Az… v Toluca 1-4
Jan 16 Cruz Az… v FC Juar… 1-0
Oct 24 Cruz Az… v Guadala… 1-1
Toluca 14.0%
Aug 03 Toluca v Puebla 1-1
Jul 23 Toluca v Santos … 2-1
Apr 03 Toluca v Puebla 2-1
Feb 21 Toluca v Cruz Az… 1-4
Jan 16 Toluca v Santos … 3-1
Nov 06 Toluca v Puebla 1-0
Aug 15 Toluca v Cruz Az… 4-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 21, 2022 Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul
Aug 15, 2021 Cruz Azul 4-0 Toluca
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.