Liga MX · Jul 08, 2023 23:50
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Toluca
PWR 35
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Toluca Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS38%
Under 2.570%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Toluca Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cruz Azulvs
0.86
TolucaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul+3
Gap#5
Toluca
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Cruz Azul
6.0%
| Jul 02 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| May 06 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 0-1 |
| Apr 23 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
| Apr 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Cruz Az… v Atlas | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-3 |
| Feb 12 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 0-1 |
Toluca
18.0%
| Jun 24 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-1 |
| May 14 | Toluca v Tigres … | 3-1 |
| Apr 08 | Toluca v Puebla | 1-2 |
| Feb 24 | Toluca v Santos … | 0-5 |
| Feb 12 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Toluca v Monterr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Toluca v Santos … | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Toluca v Santos … | 4-3 |
| Aug 18 | Toluca v Monterr… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca | 3-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-3 | Toluca |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca | 1-4 | Cruz Azul |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul | 4-0 | Toluca |
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (4W in last 5)
Cruz Azul struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.