Predictions Match Details
Tweede Divisie · May 28, 2022 13:30

Excelsior Maassluis
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Spakenburg
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Excelsior Maas… Form LWLWW
STABLE
Spakenburg Form WWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS65%
Under 2.536%
Excelsior M… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Spakenburg Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Excelsior Maas…
vs
1.38
Spakenburg
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Excelsior M…
-11
Gap
#5
Spakenburg
WR 40% 18 pts WR 33% 32 pts
Excelsior Maas… 12.0%
May 24 Excelsi… v AFC Ams… 2-1
May 21 Excelsi… v Katwijk 1-0
Apr 23 Excelsi… v De Tref… 2-0
Apr 16 Excelsi… v Ijsselm… 0-2
Apr 02 Excelsi… v Kozakke… 2-3
Mar 23 Excelsi… v Koninkl… 3-0
Mar 12 Excelsi… v Rijnsbu… 3-2
Feb 19 Excelsi… v AFC Ams… 1-1
Jan 20 Excelsi… v Ajax 9-0
Nov 27 Excelsi… v Katwijk 2-0
Spakenburg 14.0%
May 21 Spakenb… v Koninkl… 2-3
Apr 30 Spakenb… v De Tref… 5-2
Apr 09 Spakenb… v Sparta … 0-3
Apr 05 Spakenb… v Katwijk 2-2
Feb 26 Spakenb… v Sparta … 0-6
Feb 19 Spakenb… v De Tref… 1-0
Nov 27 Spakenb… v Koninkl… 2-0
Oct 09 Spakenb… v Excelsi… 4-2
Sep 25 Spakenb… v Rijnsbu… 3-1
Sep 04 Spakenb… v Katwijk 2-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4-2 Excelsior Maa…
Key Factors
Excelsior Maassluis in strong form (3W in last 5)
Spakenburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.