Tweede Divisie · Oct 04, 2022 18:00
Spakenburg
PWR 35
Excelsior Maassluis
PWR 35
Spakenburg
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Excelsior Maassluis
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Spakenburg to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 74.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Spakenburg Form
LLWLW
DOWN
Excelsior Maas… Form
WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS64%
Under 2.534%
Spakenburg Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Excelsior M… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Spakenburgvs
1.21
Excelsior Maas…Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Spakenburg+11
Gap#16
Excelsior M…
WR 60% 32 pts
WR 0% 18 pts
Spakenburg
8.0%
| Aug 27 | Spakenb… v Sparta … | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | Spakenb… v Koninkl… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Spakenb… v Rijnsbu… | 2-1 |
| May 28 | Spakenb… v Excelsi… | 4-0 |
| May 21 | Spakenb… v Koninkl… | 2-3 |
| Apr 30 | Spakenb… v De Tref… | 5-2 |
| Apr 09 | Spakenb… v Sparta … | 0-3 |
| Apr 05 | Spakenb… v Katwijk | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Spakenb… v Sparta … | 0-6 |
| Feb 19 | Spakenb… v De Tref… | 1-0 |
Excelsior Maas…
10.0%
| Sep 24 | Excelsi… v Rijnsbu… | 3-1 |
| Sep 10 | Excelsi… v Ijsselm… | 2-2 |
| Aug 27 | Excelsi… v De Tref… | 0-2 |
| Aug 20 | Excelsi… v Kozakke… | 3-0 |
| May 28 | Excelsi… v Spakenb… | 4-0 |
| May 24 | Excelsi… v AFC Ams… | 2-1 |
| May 21 | Excelsi… v Katwijk | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Excelsi… v De Tref… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Excelsi… v Ijsselm… | 0-2 |
| Apr 02 | Excelsi… v Kozakke… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 28, 2022 | Excelsior Maa… | 4-0 | Spakenburg |
| Oct 09, 2021 | Spakenburg | 4-2 | Excelsior Maa… |
Key Factors
Spakenburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.