Tweede Divisie · Aug 31, 2024 13:00

Spakenburg
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Excelsior Maassluis
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Spakenburg to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 74.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Spakenburg Form WWWLW
UP
Excelsior Maas… Form LLDLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS47%
Under 2.536%
Spakenburg Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Excelsior M… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Spakenburg
vs
0.67
Excelsior Maas…
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings87%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
Spakenburg
+11
Gap
#16
Excelsior M…
WR 60% 32 pts WR 0% 18 pts
Spakenburg 16.0%
Aug 17 Spakenb… v FC Vole… 4-0
May 25 Spakenb… v De Tref… 1-3
Apr 20 Spakenb… v Sparta … 1-2
Mar 09 Spakenb… v Rijnsbu… 4-3
Mar 02 Spakenb… v ACV 2-1
Feb 24 Spakenb… v Excelsi… 1-1
Feb 17 Spakenb… v Katwijk 2-2
Jan 27 Spakenb… v Koninkl… 2-1
Dec 19 Spakenb… v Excelsi… 2-3
Dec 16 Spakenb… v De Tref… 3-0
Excelsior Maas… 6.0%
Aug 24 Excelsi… v Dordrec… 1-2
Aug 17 Excelsi… v Koninkl… 3-0
Aug 03 Excelsi… v Ijsselm… 1-1
May 11 Excelsi… v Katwijk 2-1
May 04 Excelsi… v AFC Ams… 2-1
Apr 20 Excelsi… v Koninkl… 1-2
Apr 13 Excelsi… v Rijnsbu… 2-0
Mar 30 Excelsi… v De Tref… 0-1
Feb 24 Excelsi… v Spakenb… 1-1
Feb 17 Excelsi… v Kozakke… 2-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Feb 24, 2024 Excelsior Maa… 1-1 Spakenburg
Sep 23, 2023 Spakenburg 4-2 Excelsior Maa…
Feb 11, 2023 Excelsior Maa… 0-2 Spakenburg
Oct 04, 2022 Spakenburg 0-1 Excelsior Maa…
May 28, 2022 Excelsior Maa… 4-0 Spakenburg
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4-2 Excelsior Maa…
Key Factors
Spakenburg in strong form (4W in last 5)
Excelsior Maassluis struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.