League One · Jan 22, 2022 15:00

Plymouth
PWR 33
1 - 2
FT

Lincoln
PWR 42
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Plymouth Form LLWWD
DOWN
Lincoln Form DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS62%
Under 2.539%
Plymouth Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Lincoln Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Plymouth
vs
1.26
Lincoln
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Plymouth
-14
Gap
#2
Lincoln
WR 31% 37 pts WR 47% 61 pts
Plymouth 10.0%
Nov 27 Plymouth v Wigan 1-2
Nov 23 Plymouth v Wycombe 0-3
Oct 19 Plymouth v Bolton 3-0
Oct 09 Plymouth v Brighton 2-1
Oct 02 Plymouth v Lincoln 2-2
Sep 25 Plymouth v Doncast… 2-1
Aug 10 Plymouth v Peterbo… 0-4
Aug 07 Plymouth v Rotherh… 2-0
Jul 17 Plymouth v Bristol… 1-1
Apr 17 Plymouth v Brighton 1-1
Lincoln 16.0%
Nov 20 Lincoln v Doncast… 0-0
Oct 26 Lincoln v Wigan 1-2
Oct 02 Lincoln v Plymouth 2-2
Sep 25 Lincoln v Brighton 1-2
Aug 31 Lincoln v Brentfo… 0-3
Aug 21 Lincoln v Wycombe 1-0
Aug 17 Lincoln v Bolton 0-1
May 30 Lincoln v Blackpo… 2-1
May 01 Lincoln v Peterbo… 3-3
Apr 10 Lincoln v Blackpo… 2-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2-2 Plymouth
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4-3 Lincoln
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2-0 Lincoln
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2-0 Plymouth
Key Factors
Lincoln in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.