League One · Nov 12, 2022 15:00

Lincoln
PWR 42

Plymouth
PWR 33

Lincoln
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Plymouth
PWR 33
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
Lincoln Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (15%)
0-1 (14%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (14%)
0-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Lincoln Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Plymouth Form
DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS38%
Under 2.570%
Lincoln Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Plymouth Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Lincolnvs
0.99
PlymouthDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Lincoln+13
Gap#15
Plymouth
WR 73% 58 pts
WR 43% 37 pts
Lincoln
8.0%
| Oct 29 | Lincoln v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Lincoln v Burnley | 0-1 |
| Oct 01 | Lincoln v Bolton | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Lincoln v Doncast… | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Lincoln v Burnley | 0-3 |
| Aug 20 | Lincoln v Peterbo… | 4-0 |
| Aug 09 | Lincoln v Doncast… | 0-3 |
| Jul 30 | Lincoln v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Lincoln v Wigan | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Lincoln v Bolton | 3-1 |
Plymouth
16.0%
| Oct 22 | Plymouth v Bristol… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | Plymouth v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Plymouth v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Plymouth v Bolton | 2-0 |
| Aug 13 | Plymouth v Peterbo… | 2-0 |
| Aug 10 | Plymouth v Peterbo… | 0-2 |
| Apr 23 | Plymouth v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | Plymouth v Wycombe | 2-0 |
| Apr 09 | Plymouth v Brighton | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Plymouth v Bolton | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 22, 2022 | Plymouth | 1-2 | Lincoln |
| Oct 02, 2021 | Lincoln | 2-2 | Plymouth |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Plymouth | 4-3 | Lincoln |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Plymouth | 2-0 | Lincoln |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Lincoln | 2-0 | Plymouth |
Key Factors
Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lincoln struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.