League One · Nov 12, 2022 15:00

Lincoln
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Plymouth
PWR 33
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
Lincoln Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (15%) 0-1 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (14%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Lincoln Form LWLLW
STABLE
Plymouth Form DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS38%
Under 2.570%
Lincoln Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Plymouth Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Lincoln
vs
0.99
Plymouth
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Lincoln
+13
Gap
#15
Plymouth
WR 73% 58 pts WR 43% 37 pts
Lincoln 8.0%
Oct 29 Lincoln v Port Va… 1-0
Oct 25 Lincoln v Burnley 0-1
Oct 01 Lincoln v Bolton 2-0
Sep 20 Lincoln v Doncast… 1-2
Aug 30 Lincoln v Burnley 0-3
Aug 20 Lincoln v Peterbo… 4-0
Aug 09 Lincoln v Doncast… 0-3
Jul 30 Lincoln v Exeter … 1-1
Apr 09 Lincoln v Wigan 1-3
Feb 22 Lincoln v Bolton 3-1
Plymouth 16.0%
Oct 22 Plymouth v Bristol… 2-2
Oct 01 Plymouth v Wycombe 0-1
Aug 30 Plymouth v Bristol… 1-1
Aug 27 Plymouth v Bolton 2-0
Aug 13 Plymouth v Peterbo… 2-0
Aug 10 Plymouth v Peterbo… 0-2
Apr 23 Plymouth v Wigan 1-1
Apr 15 Plymouth v Wycombe 2-0
Apr 09 Plymouth v Brighton 0-0
Mar 12 Plymouth v Bolton 0-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Jan 22, 2022 Plymouth 1-2 Lincoln
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2-2 Plymouth
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4-3 Lincoln
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2-0 Lincoln
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2-0 Plymouth
Key Factors
Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lincoln struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.