League One · Apr 10, 2023 14:00

Plymouth
PWR 33
0 - 2
FT

Lincoln
PWR 42
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Plymouth Form LLWDW
DOWN
Lincoln Form LLDLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS12%
Under 2.590%
Plymouth Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Lincoln Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Plymouth
vs
0.23
Lincoln
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Plymouth
-14
Gap
#2
Lincoln
WR 31% 37 pts WR 47% 61 pts
Plymouth 10.0%
Apr 02 Plymouth v Bolton 4-0
Feb 25 Plymouth v Peterbo… 5-2
Jan 10 Plymouth v Bristol… 0-2
Jan 07 Plymouth v Bolton 0-0
Dec 29 Plymouth v Wycombe 1-0
Dec 02 Plymouth v Port Va… 0-2
Nov 19 Plymouth v Brighton 2-2
Nov 12 Plymouth v Lincoln 1-1
Oct 22 Plymouth v Bristol… 2-2
Oct 01 Plymouth v Wycombe 0-1
Lincoln 4.0%
Mar 18 Lincoln v Peterbo… 0-3
Mar 11 Lincoln v Exeter … 2-1
Dec 30 Lincoln v Bolton 1-1
Dec 26 Lincoln v Brighton 3-0
Dec 10 Lincoln v Wycombe 0-0
Nov 12 Lincoln v Plymouth 1-1
Oct 29 Lincoln v Port Va… 1-0
Oct 25 Lincoln v Burnley 0-1
Oct 01 Lincoln v Bolton 2-0
Sep 20 Lincoln v Doncast… 1-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 12, 2022 Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Jan 22, 2022 Plymouth 1-2 Lincoln
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2-2 Plymouth
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4-3 Lincoln
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2-0 Lincoln
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2-0 Plymouth
Key Factors
Lincoln struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.