League Two · Mar 15, 2022 19:45
Stevenage
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Stevenage
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stevenage to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Stevenage Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Northampton To… Form
DDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS27%
Under 2.574%
Stevenage Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Northampton… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Stevenagevs
0.47
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#35
Stevenage+4
Gap#39
Northampton…
WR 25% 34 pts
WR 50% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 40 | 34 |
| Northampton Tow… | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
Stevenage
8.0%
| Mar 05 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 2-2 |
| Jan 08 | Stevena… v Walsall | 3-1 |
| Nov 13 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Stevena… v Northam… | 3-0 |
| Oct 09 | Stevena… v Exeter … | 2-2 |
| Aug 28 | Stevena… v Walsall | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Stevena… v Bolton | 2-2 |
| Apr 17 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Stevena… v Walsall | 1-1 |
Northampton To…
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Northam… v Walsall | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Northam… v Port Va… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Northam… v Walsall | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Northam… v Stevena… | 3-0 |
| Oct 05 | Northam… v Walsall | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| Aug 07 | Northam… v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| May 01 | Northam… v Blackpo… | 0-3 |
| Apr 16 | Northam… v Peterbo… | 3-1 |
| Mar 27 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 19, 2021 | Northampton T… | 3-0 | Stevenage |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Stevenage |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.