League Two · Apr 01, 2023 14:00
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Stevenage
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
1 - 1
FT
Stevenage
PWR 36
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Northampton Town FC to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (22%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Northampton To… Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Stevenage Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS28%
Under 2.580%
Northampton… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Stevenage Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Northampton To…vs
0.70
StevenageDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#39
Northampton…-4
Gap#35
Stevenage
WR 50% 26 pts
WR 25% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Tow… | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
| Stevenage | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 40 | 34 |
Northampton To…
8.0%
| Feb 14 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Northam… v Walsall | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Northam… v Stevena… | 2-3 |
| Oct 04 | Northam… v Walsall | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | Northam… v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Northam… v Stevena… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Northam… v Walsall | 1-1 |
Stevenage
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Stevena… v Walsall | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Stevena… v AFC Wim… | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Stevena… v Stockpo… | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 3-0 |
| Dec 27 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Stevena… v Doncast… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Stevena… v Northam… | 2-3 |
| Aug 30 | Stevena… v Peterbo… | 1-2 |
| Aug 23 | Stevena… v Peterbo… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 22, 2022 | Stevenage | 2-3 | Northampton T… |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stevenage | 1-2 | Northampton T… |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Northampton T… | 3-0 | Stevenage |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Stevenage |
Key Factors
Stevenage in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.