League One · Aug 05, 2023 14:00
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Stevenage
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
0 - 1
FT
Stevenage
PWR 36
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (24%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Northampton To… Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Stevenage Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS20%
Under 2.583%
Northampton… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Stevenage Goals
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Northampton To…vs
0.37
StevenageDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Northampton…-10
Gap#9
Stevenage
WR 40% 33 pts
WR 31% 42 pts
Northampton To…
10.0%
| Apr 01 | Northam… v Stevena… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Northam… v Walsall | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Northam… v Stevena… | 2-3 |
| Oct 04 | Northam… v Walsall | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 0-2 |
| Aug 09 | Northam… v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Northam… v Stevena… | 1-2 |
Stevenage
14.0%
| Apr 22 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Stevena… v Doncast… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | Stevena… v AFC Wim… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Stevena… v Northam… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Stevena… v Walsall | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Stevena… v AFC Wim… | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Stevena… v Stockpo… | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 3-0 |
| Dec 27 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 01, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-1 | Stevenage |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Stevenage | 2-3 | Northampton T… |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stevenage | 1-2 | Northampton T… |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Northampton T… | 3-0 | Stevenage |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Stevenage |
Key Factors
Stevenage in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.