League One · Dec 26, 2023 15:00
Stevenage
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Stevenage
PWR 36
3 - 0
FT
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Stevenage to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Stevenage Form
LLDDW
DOWN
Northampton To… Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS63%
Under 2.535%
Stevenage Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Northampton… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Stevenagevs
1.21
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Stevenage+10
Gap#19
Northampton…
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 20% 33 pts
Stevenage
8.0%
| Dec 23 | Stevena… v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Stevena… v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Stevena… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | Stevena… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Stevena… v Bolton | 1-2 |
| Dec 09 | Stevena… v Brighton | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Stevena… v Peterbo… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Stevena… v Peterbo… | 2-2 |
| Nov 25 | Stevena… v Fleetwo… | 0-3 |
| Nov 18 | Stevena… v Lincoln | 1-0 |
Northampton To…
14.0%
| Dec 23 | Northam… v Oxford … | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Northam… v Carlisle | 2-2 |
| Dec 09 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 3-0 |
| Dec 02 | Northam… v Portsmo… | 0-3 |
| Nov 28 | Northam… v Blackpo… | 1-2 |
| Nov 28 | Northam… v Blackpo… | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Northam… v Cambrid… | 2-1 |
| Nov 11 | Northam… v Brighton | 2-0 |
| Oct 21 | Northam… v Bolton | 2-1 |
| Oct 03 | Northam… v Reading… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 05, 2023 | Northampton T… | 0-1 | Stevenage |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-1 | Stevenage |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Stevenage | 2-3 | Northampton T… |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stevenage | 1-2 | Northampton T… |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Northampton T… | 3-0 | Stevenage |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Stevenage |
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.