League One · Dec 03, 2024 19:45
Stevenage
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Stevenage
PWR 36
2 - 0
FT
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Stevenage to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (30%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (16%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (7%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense71
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Stevenage Form
LDDDD
STABLE
Northampton To… Form
LDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.512%
BTTS20%
Under 2.588%
Stevenage Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Northampton… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Stevenagevs
0.67
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Stevenage+10
Gap#19
Northampton…
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 20% 33 pts
Stevenage
8.0%
| Nov 30 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Stevena… v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Stevena… v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Stevena… v Bolton | 1-4 |
| Oct 29 | Stevena… v Bolton | 1-4 |
| Oct 26 | Stevena… v Rotherh… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Stevena… v Cambrid… | 0-2 |
| Oct 19 | Stevena… v Mansfie… | 0-1 |
Northampton To…
6.0%
| Nov 26 | Northam… v Wigan | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Northam… v Cambrid… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | Northam… v Blackpo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | Northam… v Blackpo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 12 | Northam… v Brighton | 2-5 |
| Nov 09 | Northam… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Northam… v Lincoln | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Northam… v Crawley… | 3-0 |
| Oct 22 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Northam… v Stockpo… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 26, 2023 | Stevenage | 3-0 | Northampton T… |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Stevenage | 3-0 | Northampton T… |
| Aug 05, 2023 | Northampton T… | 0-1 | Stevenage |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-1 | Stevenage |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Stevenage | 2-3 | Northampton T… |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stevenage | 1-2 | Northampton T… |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Northampton T… | 3-0 | Stevenage |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Stevenage |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.