AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Nov 16, 2024

Forest Green

Home
VS
17:30

York

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Forest Green Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
York Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.22 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Forest Green Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
York Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Forest Green Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Forest Gr… vs Woking 1-1
Oct 22 Forest Gr… vs Ebbsfleet… 3-1
Sep 21 Forest Gr… vs Gateshead 0-2
Sep 14 Forest Gr… vs Wealdstone 2-2
Sep 07 Forest Gr… vs Solihull … 0-1
Aug 31 Forest Gr… vs Southampt… 1-2
Aug 26 Forest Gr… vs Altrincham 2-1
Apr 27 Forest Gr… vs Newport C… 1-0
Apr 27 Forest Gr… vs Newport C… 1-0
Apr 20 Forest Gr… vs Morecambe 1-2
York Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 York vs Solihull … 0-3
Sep 21 York vs Aldershot… 0-0
Sep 10 York vs Braintree 2-1
Aug 26 York vs Bolton 0-2
Aug 24 York vs Southampt… 2-2
Aug 20 York vs Rochdale 1-0
Aug 10 York vs Southend 1-1
Apr 20 York vs Solihull … 1-0
Apr 13 York vs Woking 2-0
Apr 06 York vs Eastleigh 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Forest Green in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Forest Green Power 42
York Power 52
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Forest Green Position

-2

Position Gap

2

York Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.