AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Sep 14, 2024

Bari

Home
VS
13:00

Mantova

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Bari Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Mantova Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.28 - 1.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.6
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Bari Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Bari vs Sampdoria 0-0
Aug 27 Bari vs Sassuolo 1-1
Aug 23 Bari vs Monza 2-1
Aug 17 Bari vs Juve Stab… 1-3
Aug 17 Bari vs Juve Stab… 1-3
Aug 10 Bari vs Cremonese 1-1
Jul 24 Bari vs Frosinone 3-4
May 23 Bari vs Ternana 0-3
May 16 Bari vs Ternana 1-1
May 10 Bari vs Brescia 2-0
Mantova Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Mantova vs Salernita… 1-0
Aug 28 Mantova vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Aug 25 Mantova vs Cosenza 3-2
Aug 18 Mantova vs Reggiana … 2-2
Aug 18 Mantova vs Reggiana … 2-2
Aug 12 Mantova vs Lecce 2-1
Aug 13 Mantova vs Cosenza 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bari struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bari to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bari Power 27
Mantova Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Bari Position

-1

Position Gap

18

Mantova Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.