AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 08, 2025

Sampdoria

Home
VS
16:15

Modena

Away
AI Predictions 51.7% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
51.7%
Draw
23.7%
Modena Win
24.7%
Home Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.21 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Modena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Sampdoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sampdoria vs Roma Women 4-0
Feb 01 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 1-0
Jan 25 Sampdoria vs Mantova 2-2
Jan 17 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 1-2
Jan 12 Sampdoria vs Brescia 1-1
Dec 29 Sampdoria vs Pisa 0-1
Dec 26 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 1-1
Dec 26 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 1-1
Dec 22 Sampdoria vs Cremonese 1-1
Dec 18 Sampdoria vs AS Roma 4-1
Modena Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Modena vs Sampdoria 1-3
Feb 03 Modena vs Sampdoria 2-2
Nov 11 Modena vs Sampdoria 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 Modena 1 - 3 Sampdoria Serie B
Feb 03, 2024 Sampdoria 2 - 2 Modena Serie B
Nov 11, 2023 Modena 0 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Final Verdict

ELITE: Sampdoria to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
  • Power: 32 vs 0
Sampdoria Power 32
Modena Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Sampdoria Position

-9

Position Gap

5

Modena Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.