Brasiliense · Mar 25, 2023 18:30

Paranoá
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Real FC
PWR 35
29% H 28% D 43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Paranoá Form LWLDD
STABLE
Real FC Form WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS63%
Under 2.531%
Paranoá Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Real FC Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Paranoá
vs
1.09
Real FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Paranoá
+1
Gap
#8
Real FC
WR 33% 6 pts WR 33% 4 pts
Paranoá 8.0%
Mar 18 Paranoá v Porto V… 1-0
Mar 12 Paranoá v União C… 3-0
Mar 11 Paranoá v Real FC 1-3
Mar 05 Paranoá v Jaguaré 0-0
Feb 17 Paranoá v Capital… 1-1
Feb 12 Paranoá v Gama 1-1
Feb 03 Paranoá v Gama 0-4
Jan 26 Paranoá v Capital… 2-1
May 12 Paranoá v União C… 3-1
May 09 Paranoá v Barcelo… 3-2
Real FC 18.0%
Mar 11 Real FC v Paranoá 1-3
Mar 04 Real FC v Samamba… 2-0
Feb 26 Real FC v Brasili… 1-1
Feb 11 Real FC v Capital… 2-1
Feb 08 Real FC v Gama 0-1
Feb 03 Real FC v Uberlân… 0-0
Apr 03 Real FC v Brasili… 3-0
Feb 26 Real FC v Capital… 3-0
Feb 20 Real FC v Uberlân… 1-2
Aug 23 Real FC v Brasili… 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 11, 2023 Paranoá 1-3 Real FC
Key Factors
Real FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.