Serie B · Jul 03, 2023 23:15

Botafogo
PWR 42
1 - 0
FT

GuaranĂ­ Campinas
PWR 41
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Botafogo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense57
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack31
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.1
Botafogo Form WWWWW
UP
Guaraní Campin… Form LDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS17%
Under 2.543%
Botafogo Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Guaraní Cam… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
Botafogo
vs
0.20
Guaraní Campin…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#7
Botafogo
+13
Gap
#20
Guaraní Cam…
WR 36% 77 pts WR 30% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Botafogo59211424547377
GuaranĂ­ Campinas278811243032
Botafogo 20.0%
Jul 02 Botafogo v Vasco D… 2-0
Jun 28 Botafogo v Novoriz… 0-1
Jun 25 Botafogo v Palmeir… 0-1
Jun 11 Botafogo v Fortale… 2-0
May 20 Botafogo v Flumine… 1-0
May 11 Botafogo v Corinth… 3-0
Apr 29 Botafogo v Flumine… 2-0
Mar 27 Botafogo v Portugu… 3-1
Mar 26 Botafogo v Sousa 5-1
Mar 18 Botafogo v Portugu… 0-0
Guaraní Campin… 10.0%
Jun 07 Guaraní… v Novoriz… 1-0
May 21 Guaraní… v Ponte P… 1-1
Mar 10 Guaraní… v Portugu… 2-1
Feb 08 Guaraní… v Portugu… 2-1
Jan 28 Guaraní… v Botafogo 3-2
Jan 19 Guaraní… v Santos 2-0
Sep 21 Guaraní… v Novoriz… 2-0
Aug 20 Guaraní… v Ponte P… 1-0
Jun 12 Guaraní… v Novoriz… 1-2
May 08 Guaraní… v Ponte P… 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 28, 2023 Botafogo 3-2 Guaraní Campi…
Feb 10, 2022 Guaraní Campi… 0-2 Botafogo
Nov 20, 2020 Guaraní Campi… 2-1 Botafogo
Aug 15, 2020 Botafogo 0-1 Guaraní Campi…
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.