Serie B · May 11, 2024 20:00

GuaranĂ­ Campinas
PWR 41
2 - 0
FT

Botafogo
PWR 42
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack32
Defense57
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Guaraní Campin… Form LDLLL
STABLE
Botafogo Form LWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS69%
Under 2.531%
Guaraní Cam… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Botafogo Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Guaraní Campin…
vs
1.51
Botafogo
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Guaraní Cam…
-13
Gap
#7
Botafogo
WR 30% 32 pts WR 36% 77 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
GuaranĂ­ Campinas278811243032
Botafogo59211424547377
Guaraní Campin… 2.0%
May 07 Guaraní… v Santos 4-1
Mar 01 Guaraní… v Botafogo 1-1
Feb 18 Guaraní… v Portugu… 1-0
Feb 13 Guaraní… v Novoriz… 2-0
Feb 04 Guaraní… v Santos 2-0
Nov 25 Guaraní… v Athleti… 3-0
Nov 19 Guaraní… v ABC 2-3
Nov 14 Guaraní… v Criciúma 1-1
Oct 28 Guaraní… v Botafogo 0-1
Sep 30 Guaraní… v Novoriz… 2-1
Botafogo 8.0%
May 03 Botafogo v Palmeir… 2-1
May 02 Botafogo v Vitoria 1-0
Apr 14 Botafogo v Cruzeiro 3-2
Apr 13 Botafogo v Sousa 1-1
Apr 06 Botafogo v Sousa 0-0
Mar 10 Botafogo v Sousa 0-0
Mar 09 Botafogo v Palmeir… 1-0
Mar 03 Botafogo v Flumine… 2-4
Mar 01 Botafogo v Guaraní… 1-1
Feb 19 Botafogo v Naciona… 2-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Mar 01, 2024 Botafogo 1-1 Guaraní Campi…
Oct 28, 2023 Guaraní Campi… 0-1 Botafogo
Jul 03, 2023 Botafogo 1-0 Guaraní Campi…
Jan 28, 2023 Botafogo 3-2 Guaraní Campi…
Feb 10, 2022 Guaraní Campi… 0-2 Botafogo
Nov 20, 2020 Guaraní Campi… 2-1 Botafogo
Aug 15, 2020 Botafogo 0-1 Guaraní Campi…
Key Factors
GuaranĂ­ Campinas struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.