Liga 1 · May 23, 2025 12:00

Persebaya Surabaya
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Bali United
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Persebaya Sura… Form DDDWW
STABLE
Bali United Form WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS45%
Under 2.549%
Persebaya S… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Bali United Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Persebaya Sura…
vs
0.73
Bali United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Persebaya S…
+3
Gap
#8
Bali United
WR 50% 32 pts WR 50% 28 pts
Persebaya Sura… 14.0%
May 18 Perseba… v Pusaman… 1-1
May 05 Perseba… v Persik … 3-3
Apr 28 Perseba… v Arema FC 1-1
Apr 20 Perseba… v Persepa… 1-0
Mar 07 Perseba… v PSM Mak… 0-1
Feb 21 Perseba… v Dewa Un… 2-0
Jan 17 Perseba… v Malut U… 0-2
Dec 28 Perseba… v Bali Un… 2-0
Dec 20 Perseba… v Pusaman… 2-1
Dec 11 Perseba… v Persik … 4-1
Bali United 10.0%
Apr 25 Bali Un… v PSM Mak… 0-1
Apr 10 Bali Un… v Dewa Un… 0-0
Mar 11 Bali Un… v PSBS Bi… 0-2
Feb 03 Bali Un… v Arema FC 1-0
Jan 20 Bali Un… v Semen P… 1-5
Jan 12 Bali Un… v Persik … 1-3
Dec 28 Bali Un… v Perseba… 2-0
Dec 07 Bali Un… v PSM Mak… 1-1
Nov 23 Bali Un… v Dewa Un… 1-0
Nov 03 Bali Un… v PSBS Bi… 2-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Dec 28, 2024 Bali United 2-0 Persebaya Sur…
Apr 24, 2024 Persebaya Sur… 0-2 Bali United
Oct 20, 2023 Bali United 3-1 Persebaya Sur…
Feb 18, 2023 Bali United 4-0 Persebaya Sur…
Sep 02, 2022 Persebaya Sur… 0-1 Bali United
Jun 20, 2022 Bali United 1-0 Persebaya Sur…
Mar 25, 2022 Bali United 0-3 Persebaya Sur…
Jan 05, 2022 Persebaya Sur… 3-1 Bali United
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.