AI Match Insights
Ligat Ha'al Jan 20, 2025
Hapoel Haifa
HomeVS
18:00
Ashdod
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hapoel Haifa Win
Draw
Ashdod Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
51%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.64 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Haifa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ashdod Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
Hapoel Haifa Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16 | Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Te… | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Be… | 0-1 |
| Jan 01 | Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Ka… | 1-0 |
| Dec 31 | Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Pe… | 0-0 |
| Dec 27 | Hapoel Ha… vs Hapoel Pe… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi T… | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Hapoel Ha… vs Kafr Qasim | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Hapoel Ha… vs Maccabi T… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Hapoel Ha… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-2 |
| Nov 29 | Hapoel Ha… vs Ironi Kir… | 2-1 |
Ashdod Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 04 | Ashdod vs Maccabi T… | 5-1 |
| Dec 31 | Ashdod vs Bnei Sakh… | 3-5 |
| Dec 22 | Ashdod vs Ironi Kir… | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Ashdod vs Beitar Je… | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Ashdod vs Maccabi H… | 1-3 |
| Dec 03 | Ashdod vs Maccabi H… | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Ashdod vs Ironi Tib… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Ashdod vs Maccabi T… | 1-2 |
| Oct 20 | Ashdod vs Hapoel Ka… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Ashdod vs Hapoel Ha… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Hapoel Haifa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Ashdod struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 2024 | Ashdod | 0 - 1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa | 2 - 4 | Ashdod | Toto Cup Ligat… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ashdod | 0 - 1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa | 2 - 0 | Ashdod | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ashdod | 0 - 0 | Hapoel Haifa | Toto Cup Ligat… |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa | 1 - 1 | Ashdod | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Ashdod | 4 - 0 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 09, 2022 | Hapoel Haifa | 1 - 2 | Ashdod | Ligat Ha'al |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Hapoel Haifa Power
0
Ashdod Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Hapoel Haifa Position+1
Position Gap11
Ashdod Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.