Eredivisie · Aug 18, 2023 18:00

Heracles
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Heracles Form WLWLL
STABLE
NEC Nijmegen Form LDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS60%
Under 2.543%
Heracles Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Heracles
vs
1.46
NEC Nijmegen
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Heracles
-14
Gap
#3
NEC Nijmegen
WR 40% 17 pts WR 46% 41 pts
Heracles 8.0%
Feb 24 Heracles v Telstar 7-0
Jan 12 Heracles v GO Ahea… 0-1
Sep 16 Heracles v Telstar 0-3
Jul 29 Heracles v NEC Nij… 1-3
Jul 15 Heracles v Sparta … 1-0
May 15 Heracles v Sparta … 1-3
Apr 30 Heracles v FC Twen… 1-1
Apr 10 Heracles v Feyenoo… 1-4
Apr 03 Heracles v Fortuna… 0-2
Mar 18 Heracles v Heerenv… 2-0
NEC Nijmegen 8.0%
May 21 NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… 0-3
Mar 12 NEC Nij… v Utrecht 2-2
Feb 25 NEC Nij… v FC Vole… 3-0
Jan 28 NEC Nij… v Sparta … 1-1
Oct 16 NEC Nij… v Sparta … 2-0
Sep 16 NEC Nij… v Utrecht 0-0
Sep 01 NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… 1-1
Aug 14 NEC Nij… v FC Vole… 1-4
Jul 29 NEC Nij… v Heracles 1-3
Apr 29 NEC Nij… v Utrecht 1-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Jul 29, 2022 Heracles 1-3 NEC Nijmegen
Jan 15, 2022 NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Heracles
Aug 29, 2021 Heracles 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
Jul 24, 2021 Heracles 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
Key Factors
Heracles struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.