Eredivisie · Feb 03, 2024 20:00

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Heracles
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
NEC Nijmegen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 12 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (12 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NEC Nijmegen Form LWDWW
STABLE
Heracles Form LLDWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS20%
Under 2.578%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Heracles Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
NEC Nijmegen
vs
0.32
Heracles
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
NEC Nijmegen
+13
Gap
#16
Heracles
WR 67% 38 pts WR 9% 17 pts
NEC Nijmegen 14.0%
Aug 18 NEC Nij… v Heracles 2-1
Jul 29 NEC Nij… v Heracles 1-3
Jan 15 NEC Nij… v Heracles 0-0
Aug 29 NEC Nij… v Heracles 0-1
Jul 24 NEC Nij… v Heracles 0-1
Heracles 8.0%
Jan 27 Heracles v Ajax 2-4
Jan 25 Heracles v Cambuur 3-4
Jan 20 Heracles v FC Vole… 1-1
Jan 12 Heracles v Waalwijk 1-2
Jan 07 Heracles v PSV Ein… 1-1
Dec 21 Heracles v Ajax 3-2
Dec 17 Heracles v Feyenoo… 0-4
Dec 17 Heracles v Feyenoo… 0-4
Dec 10 Heracles v Vitesse 2-0
Dec 02 Heracles v Sparta … 0-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Aug 18, 2023 Heracles 2-1 NEC Nijmegen
Jul 29, 2022 Heracles 1-3 NEC Nijmegen
Jan 15, 2022 NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Heracles
Aug 29, 2021 Heracles 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
Jul 24, 2021 Heracles 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
Key Factors
NEC Nijmegen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.