Eredivisie · Feb 03, 2024 20:00

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35

Heracles
PWR 35

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Heracles
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
NEC Nijmegen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 12 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (12 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NEC Nijmegen Form
LWDWW
STABLE
Heracles Form
LLDWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS20%
Under 2.578%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Heracles Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
NEC Nijmegenvs
0.32
HeraclesDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
NEC Nijmegen+13
Gap#16
Heracles
WR 67% 38 pts
WR 9% 17 pts
NEC Nijmegen
14.0%
| Aug 18 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 2-1 |
| Jul 29 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Jan 15 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 29 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 0-1 |
| Jul 24 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 0-1 |
Heracles
8.0%
| Jan 27 | Heracles v Ajax | 2-4 |
| Jan 25 | Heracles v Cambuur | 3-4 |
| Jan 20 | Heracles v FC Vole… | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Heracles v Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | Heracles v PSV Ein… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Heracles v Ajax | 3-2 |
| Dec 17 | Heracles v Feyenoo… | 0-4 |
| Dec 17 | Heracles v Feyenoo… | 0-4 |
| Dec 10 | Heracles v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Heracles v Sparta … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 18, 2023 | Heracles | 2-1 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Heracles | 1-3 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | NEC Nijmegen | 0-0 | Heracles |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Heracles | 0-1 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Heracles | 0-1 | NEC Nijmegen |
Key Factors
NEC Nijmegen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.