Eredivisie · Feb 09, 2025 15:45

Heerenveen
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT

FC Twente
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Heerenveen Form DLLLW
STABLE
FC Twente Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS41%
Under 2.551%
Heerenveen Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Twente Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Heerenveen
vs
0.63
FC Twente
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Heerenveen
-6
Gap
#6
FC Twente
WR 27% 25 pts WR 27% 34 pts
Heerenveen 6.0%
Feb 01 Heerenv… v Fortuna… 2-2
Jan 25 Heerenv… v Groning… 1-0
Jan 19 Heerenv… v Ajax 0-2
Jan 16 Heerenv… v Quick B… 3-2
Jan 12 Heerenv… v NAC Bre… 2-4
Dec 21 Heerenv… v Almere … 3-0
Dec 18 Heerenv… v ASWH 0-1
Dec 14 Heerenv… v PSV Ein… 1-0
Dec 14 Heerenv… v PSV Ein… 1-0
Dec 08 Heerenv… v Willem … 1-2
FC Twente 6.0%
Feb 02 FC Twen… v GO Ahea… 2-2
Jan 19 FC Twen… v NAC Bre… 2-1
Jan 15 FC Twen… v GO Ahea… 3-1
Jan 12 FC Twen… v Willem … 6-2
Dec 21 FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… 1-0
Dec 21 FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… 1-0
Dec 18 FC Twen… v Katwijk 2-3
Dec 15 FC Twen… v Groning… 2-0
Dec 06 FC Twen… v PSV Ein… 6-1
Dec 01 FC Twen… v GO Ahea… 3-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Sep 30, 2023 FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Jun 04, 2023 FC Twente 4-0 Heerenveen
Jun 01, 2023 Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Mar 04, 2023 FC Twente 3-3 Heerenveen
Sep 18, 2022 Heerenveen 2-1 FC Twente
Jan 15, 2022 FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Key Factors
Heerenveen struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Twente struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.