Bundesliga · Sep 23, 2023 13:30

Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
1 - 0
FT

VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
Borussia Dortmund Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Borussia Dortm… Form WDWWW
STABLE
VfL Wolfsburg Form WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS41%
Under 2.542%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
VfL Wolfsbu… Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Borussia Dortm…
vs
0.53
VfL Wolfsburg
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings90%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Borussia Do…
+13
Gap
#15
VfL Wolfsbu…
WR 80% 48 pts WR 30% 19 pts
Borussia Dortm… 18.0%
Sep 16 Borussi… v SC Frei… 2-4
Sep 01 Borussi… v FC Heid… 2-2
May 13 Borussi… v Borussi… 5-2
May 07 Borussi… v VfL Wol… 6-0
Apr 22 Borussi… v Eintrac… 4-0
Apr 15 Borussi… v VfB Stu… 3-3
Apr 08 Borussi… v Union B… 2-1
Feb 25 Borussi… v 1899 Ho… 0-1
Feb 11 Borussi… v Werder … 0-2
Feb 04 Borussi… v SC Frei… 5-1
VfL Wolfsburg 16.0%
Sep 16 VfL Wol… v Union B… 2-1
Aug 26 VfL Wol… v FC Koln 1-2
Aug 19 VfL Wol… v FC Heid… 2-0
Jul 22 VfL Wol… v SC Frei… 2-3
May 19 VfL Wol… v SC Frei… 2-0
May 07 VfL Wol… v Borussi… 6-0
Apr 30 VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… 3-0
Apr 16 VfL Wol… v Bayer L… 0-0
Apr 09 VfL Wol… v Borussi… 2-0
Mar 12 VfL Wol… v Union B… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dort… 6-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Borussia Dort…
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dort… 6-1 VfL Wolfsburg
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dort…
Key Factors
Borussia Dortmund in strong form (4W in last 5)
VfL Wolfsburg in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.