Predictions Match Details
Bundesliga · Dec 22, 2024 16:30

VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
VfL Wolfsburg Form LLWWW
DOWN
Borussia Dortm… Form DDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS36%
Under 2.540%
VfL Wolfsbu… Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
VfL Wolfsburg
vs
0.48
Borussia Dortm…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
VfL Wolfsbu…
-13
Gap
#2
Borussia Do…
WR 18% 19 pts WR 55% 48 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 12.0%
Dec 13 VfL Wol… v SC Frei… 3-2
Dec 13 VfL Wol… v SC Frei… 3-2
Dec 08 VfL Wol… v Mainz 4-3
Dec 08 VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… 4-3
Dec 04 VfL Wol… v 1899 Ho… 3-0
Nov 30 VfL Wol… v RB Leip… 1-5
Nov 23 VfL Wol… v Union B… 1-0
Nov 23 VfL Wol… v Union B… 1-0
Nov 10 VfL Wol… v FC Heid… 1-3
Nov 10 VfL Wol… v 1899 Ho… 1-3
Borussia Dortm… 10.0%
Dec 15 Borussi… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Dec 15 Borussi… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Dec 07 Borussi… v Borussi… 1-1
Dec 07 Borussi… v M'gladb… 1-1
Nov 30 Borussi… v Bayern … 1-1
Nov 23 Borussi… v SC Frei… 4-0
Nov 23 Borussi… v SC Frei… 4-0
Nov 09 Borussi… v Mainz 3-1
Nov 02 Borussi… v RB Leip… 2-1
Oct 29 Borussi… v VfL Wol… 1-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Oct 29, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 Borussia Dort…
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dort…
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dort…
Sep 23, 2023 Borussia Dort… 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dort… 6-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Borussia Dort…
Apr 16, 2022 Borussia Dort… 6-1 VfL Wolfsburg
Nov 27, 2021 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dort…
Key Factors
VfL Wolfsburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.