Bundesliga · Feb 28, 2021 14:30

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
0 - 1
FT

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FSV Mainz 05 to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 7%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form WWWLL
UP
FC Augsburg Form DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS29%
Under 2.556%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
FSV Mainz 05
vs
0.40
FC Augsburg
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05
-1
Gap
#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05 12.0%
Feb 20 FSV Mai… v Borussi… 1-2
Feb 06 FSV Mai… v Union B… 1-0
Jan 23 FSV Mai… v RB Leip… 3-2
Dec 12 FSV Mai… v FC Koln 0-1
Oct 24 FSV Mai… v Borussi… 2-3
Oct 02 FSV Mai… v Union B… 4-0
May 17 FSV Mai… v FC Koln 2-2
FC Augsburg 4.0%
Feb 21 FC Augs… v Bayer L… 1-1
Feb 06 FC Augs… v Dynamo … 0-1
Jan 16 FC Augs… v Werder … 2-0
Dec 19 FC Augs… v Eintrac… 0-2
Nov 21 FC Augs… v Borussi… 1-1
Oct 26 FC Augs… v Bayer L… 3-1
Oct 10 FC Augs… v Dynamo … 1-0
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.