Bundesliga · Feb 28, 2021 14:30

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43

FC Augsburg
PWR 28

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
0 - 1
FT

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FSV Mainz 05 to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (17%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 7%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form
WWWLL
UP
FC Augsburg Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS29%
Under 2.556%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.40
FC AugsburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05-1
Gap#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05
12.0%
| Feb 20 | FSV Mai⦠v Borussi⦠| 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | FSV Mai⦠v Union B⦠| 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | FSV Mai⦠v RB Leip⦠| 3-2 |
| Dec 12 | FSV Mai⦠v FC Koln | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | FSV Mai⦠v Borussi⦠| 2-3 |
| Oct 02 | FSV Mai⦠v Union B⦠| 4-0 |
| May 17 | FSV Mai⦠v FC Koln | 2-2 |
FC Augsburg
4.0%
| Feb 21 | FC Augs⦠v Bayer L⦠| 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | FC Augs⦠v Dynamo ⦠| 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | FC Augs⦠v Werder ⦠| 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | FC Augs⦠v Eintrac⦠| 0-2 |
| Nov 21 | FC Augs⦠v Borussi⦠| 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | FC Augs⦠v Bayer L⦠| 3-1 |
| Oct 10 | FC Augs⦠v Dynamo ⦠| 1-0 |
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.