Bundesliga · Oct 22, 2021 18:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
4 - 1
FT
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (26%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 7%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form
LWWWW
STABLE
FC Augsburg Form
LWDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS12%
Under 2.585%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.20
FC AugsburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05-1
Gap#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05
16.0%
| Oct 03 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 11 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 0-2 |
| Aug 15 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 1-0 |
| May 22 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 2-3 |
| Apr 11 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 3-2 |
| Dec 12 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 0-1 |
FC Augsburg
8.0%
| Sep 26 | FC Augsā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 3-0 |
| Sep 18 | FC Augsā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Sep 11 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 28 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayer Lā¦ | 1-4 |
| Aug 21 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 14 | FC Augsā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 0-4 |
| Jul 07 | FC Augsā¦ v Hamburgā¦ | 2-2 |
| May 15 | FC Augsā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | FC Augsā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.