Bundesliga · Apr 06, 2022 16:30
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
2 - 1
FT
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
FC Augsburg Form
LLWLD
DOWN
FSV Mainz 05 Form
DLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS34%
Under 2.540%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
FC Augsburgvs
0.43
FSV Mainz 05Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
FC Augsburg+1
Gap#14
FSV Mainz 05
WR 36% 22 pts
WR 20% 21 pts
FC Augsburg
6.0%
| Feb 19 | FC Augsā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | FC Augsā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 05 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jan 22 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayer Lā¦ | 5-1 |
| Jan 16 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | FC Augsā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 18 | FC Augsā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 19 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | FC Augsā¦ v FSV Maiā¦ | 4-1 |
FSV Mainz 05
6.0%
| Apr 03 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jan 08 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 4-1 |
| Dec 11 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 04 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 3-0 |
| Nov 21 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 4-1 |
| Oct 03 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.