Bundesliga · Feb 11, 2023 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
3 - 1
FT
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form
LLDLL
DOWN
FC Augsburg Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS71%
Under 2.529%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
FSV Mainz 05vs
1.49
FC AugsburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05-1
Gap#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05
2.0%
| Feb 04 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 0-4 |
| Jan 14 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 2-2 |
| Nov 05 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 0-3 |
| Oct 29 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 6-2 |
| Oct 21 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 5-0 |
| Oct 08 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 10 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 4-1 |
| Sep 04 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 1-2 |
FC Augsburg
8.0%
| Feb 03 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayer 0ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | FC Augsā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC Augsā¦ v Fortunaā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | FC Augsā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | FC Augsā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 2-2 |
| Nov 06 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Nurnā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 2-5 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 struggling (4L in last 5)
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.