Bundesliga · Feb 17, 2024 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FSV Mainz 05 to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (13%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form
DLDLD
STABLE
FC Augsburg Form
LLDWD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS37%
Under 2.565%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.64
FC AugsburgDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05-1
Gap#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts
WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05
6.0%
| Feb 07 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | FSV Maiā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 0-1 |
| Dec 10 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 2-0 |
| Oct 21 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 1-3 |
| Oct 06 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 2-2 |
| Sep 23 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 2-1 |
FC Augsburg
8.0%
| Feb 16 | FC Augsā¦ v Hertha ā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 16 | FC Augsā¦ v Hertha | 3-2 |
| Feb 10 | FC Augsā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | FC Augsā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | FC Augsā¦ v VfL Bocā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | FC Augsā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | FC Augsā¦ v Holsteiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | FC Augsā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.