Bundesliga · Sep 20, 2024 18:30
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
2 - 3
FT
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Augsburg to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
2-0 (5%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
FC Augsburg Form
WWWLW
UP
FSV Mainz 05 Form
DWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS63%
Under 2.536%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
13%
3
18%
4
19%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.25
FC Augsburgvs
1.03
FSV Mainz 05Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
League Standings
#13
FC Augsburg+1
Gap#14
FSV Mainz 05
WR 36% 22 pts
WR 20% 21 pts
FC Augsburg
16.0%
| Sep 15 | FC Augsā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 15 | FC Augsā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| Sep 01 | FC Augsā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 4-0 |
| Aug 31 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Nurnā¦ | 0-4 |
| Aug 31 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Nurnā¦ | 0-4 |
| Aug 25 | FC Augsā¦ v FC Schaā¦ | 2-2 |
| Aug 24 | FC Augsā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Aug 24 | FC Augsā¦ v Werder ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Aug 11 | FC Augsā¦ v Eintracā¦ | 1-3 |
FSV Mainz 05
14.0%
| Aug 24 | FSV Maiā¦ v Union Bā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 18 | FSV Maiā¦ v VfL Wolā¦ | 1-3 |
| May 11 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 3-0 |
| May 05 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Heidā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | FSV Maiā¦ v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | FSV Maiā¦ v SC Freiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | FSV Maiā¦ v 1899 Hoā¦ | 4-1 |
| Mar 30 | FSV Maiā¦ v RB Leipā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | FSV Maiā¦ v Bayern ā¦ | 8-1 |
| Mar 02 | FSV Maiā¦ v Borussiā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | FC Augsburg |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 1-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Apr 06, 2022 | FC Augsburg | 2-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0-1 | FC Augsburg |
Key Factors
FC Augsburg in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.