League Two · Nov 16, 2024 15:00
Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
Chelsea
PWR 42
Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
3 - 2
FT
Chelsea
PWR 42
67% H
21% D
12% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Milton Keynes Dons to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (14%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Milton Keynes … Form
WWWWW
UP
Chelsea Form
DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS38%
Under 2.551%
Milton Keyn… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Chelsea Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Milton Keynes …vs
0.55
ChelseaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Milton Keyn…+10
Gap#19
Chelsea
WR 44% 113 pts
WR 38% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes D… | 72 | 32 | 17 | 23 | 116 | 96 | 113 |
| Chelsea | 47 | 18 | 8 | 21 | 57 | 69 | 62 |
Milton Keynes …
20.0%
| Nov 09 | Milton … v Swindon | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Milton … v Swindon | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Milton … v Grimsby | 1-3 |
| Oct 26 | Milton … v Grimsby | 1-3 |
| Oct 22 | Milton … v Accring… | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | Milton … v Accring… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Milton … v Morecam… | 1-3 |
| Oct 12 | Milton … v Port Va… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Milton … v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Milton … v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
Chelsea
8.0%
| Nov 10 | Chelsea v Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Chelsea v Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Chelsea v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Chelsea v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Chelsea v Newcast… | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Chelsea v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Chelsea v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Chelsea v Carlisle | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Chelsea v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | Chelsea v Liverpo… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 15, 2023 | Milton Keynes… | 2-2 | Chelsea |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Chelsea | 0-0 | Milton Keynes… |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Milton Keynes… | 1-2 | Chelsea |
| Mar 08, 2022 | Milton Keynes… | 3-1 | Chelsea |
| Sep 04, 2021 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Milton Keynes… |
Key Factors
Milton Keynes Dons in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.