Predictions Match Details
League Two · Mar 22, 2025 15:00

Chelsea
PWR 42
0 - 1
FT

Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack58
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Chelsea Form LDDWW
STABLE
Milton Keynes … Form LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS15%
Under 2.584%
Chelsea Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Milton Keyn… Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Chelsea
vs
0.25
Milton Keynes …
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Chelsea
-10
Gap
#9
Milton Keyn…
WR 38% 62 pts WR 44% 113 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Chelsea4718821576962
Milton Keynes D…7232172311696113
Chelsea 12.0%
Mar 16 Chelsea v Arsenal 1-0
Mar 15 Chelsea v Swindon 3-3
Mar 15 Chelsea v Swindon 3-3
Mar 11 Chelsea v AFC Wim… 1-2
Mar 09 Chelsea v Leicest… 1-0
Mar 08 Chelsea v Manches… 0-1
Mar 08 Chelsea v Manches… 0-1
Mar 04 Chelsea v Brentfo… 3-0
Mar 01 Chelsea v Grimsby 1-1
Mar 01 Chelsea v Grimsby 1-1
Milton Keynes … 4.0%
Mar 15 Milton … v Port Va… 3-0
Mar 08 Milton … v Morecam… 2-1
Mar 04 Milton … v Accring… 2-0
Mar 04 Milton … v Accring… 2-0
Mar 01 Milton … v Manches… 0-1
Mar 01 Milton … v Manches… 0-1
Feb 22 Milton … v Brentfo… 2-0
Feb 15 Milton … v Tranmer… 1-1
Feb 15 Milton … v Tranmer… 1-1
Feb 11 Milton … v Barrow 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes… 3-2 Chelsea
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes… 3-2 Chelsea
Apr 15, 2023 Milton Keynes… 2-2 Chelsea
Oct 29, 2022 Chelsea 0-0 Milton Keynes…
Aug 30, 2022 Milton Keynes… 1-2 Chelsea
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes… 3-1 Chelsea
Sep 04, 2021 Chelsea 1-1 Milton Keynes…
Key Factors
Milton Keynes Dons struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.