Serie A · Aug 29, 2021 16:30

Genoa
PWR 32

Napoli
PWR 40

Genoa
PWR 32
1 - 2
FT

Napoli
PWR 40
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-3 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-3 (2%)
2-2 (2%)
3-1 (2%)
2-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Genoa Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Napoli Form
DWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS95%
Under 2.539%
Genoa Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Napoli Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Genoavs
3.23
NapoliDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Genoa-11
Gap#3
Napoli
WR 25% 23 pts
WR 50% 46 pts
Genoa
8.0%
| Aug 21 | Genoa v Inter | 4-0 |
| May 22 | Genoa v Cagliari | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Genoa v Atalanta | 3-4 |
| May 12 | Genoa v Bologna | 0-2 |
| May 02 | Genoa v Lazio | 4-3 |
| Apr 18 | Genoa v AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Genoa v Parma | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | Genoa v Udinese | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Genoa v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Genoa v Inter | 3-0 |
Napoli
12.0%
| May 23 | Napoli v Verona | 1-1 |
| May 11 | Napoli v Udinese | 5-1 |
| May 02 | Napoli v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | Napoli v Lazio | 5-2 |
| Apr 07 | Napoli v Juventus | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Napoli v AS Roma | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Napoli v Sassuolo | 3-3 |
| Feb 21 | Napoli v Atalanta | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Napoli v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Napoli v Atalanta | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
| Jul 08, 2020 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
Key Factors
Genoa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.