Serie A · Feb 17, 2024 14:00
Napoli
PWR 40
Genoa
PWR 32
Napoli
PWR 40
1 - 1
FT
Genoa
PWR 32
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Napoli Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdā Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Napoli Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Genoa Form
LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS33%
Under 2.571%
Napoli Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Genoa Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Napolivs
0.61
GenoaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Napoli+13
Gap#16
Genoa
WR 73% 49 pts
WR 18% 23 pts
Napoli
10.0%
| Feb 11 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Napoli v Verona | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 22 | Napoli v Inter | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Napoli v Fiorentā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 13 | Napoli v Salerniā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | Napoli v Torino | 3-0 |
Genoa
10.0%
| Feb 11 | Genoa v Atalanta | 1-4 |
| Feb 11 | Genoa v Atalanta | 1-4 |
| Feb 03 | Genoa v Empoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Genoa v Salerniā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Genoa v Torino | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Genoa v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Genoa v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Genoa v Inter | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Genoa v Inter | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 16, 2023 | Genoa | 2-2 | Napoli |
| May 15, 2022 | Napoli | 3-0 | Genoa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
| Jul 08, 2020 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.