AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Mar 05, 2022

Ypiranga-RS

Home
VS
22:00

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Ypiranga-RS Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Caxias Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.35 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ypiranga-RS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Ypiranga-RS Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Ypiranga-… vs Guaraní d… 3-1
Feb 13 Ypiranga-… vs São José 0-0
Feb 10 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 0-0
Feb 05 Ypiranga-… vs Internaci… 3-1
Jan 27 Ypiranga-… vs São Luiz 2-1
Caxias Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Caxias vs Juventude 0-0
Feb 16 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-0
Feb 12 Caxias vs Internaci… 0-1
Feb 10 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 1-1
Jan 30 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ypiranga-RS in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ypiranga-RS to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ypiranga-RS Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ypiranga-RS Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Caxias Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.