Gaúcho - 1 · Mar 04, 2023 19:30
Caxias
PWR 35
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 35
Caxias
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Ypiranga-RS
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Caxias to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Caxias Form
DWDDL
STABLE
Ypiranga-RS Form
WWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS16%
Under 2.565%
Caxias Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Ypiranga-RS Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Caxiasvs
0.20
Ypiranga-RSDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Caxias+1
Gap#3
Ypiranga-RS
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Caxias
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Caxias v Juventu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Caxias v São Luiz | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Caxias v Interna… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Caxias v São José | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Caxias v Ypirang… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Caxias v Juventu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Caxias v São Luiz | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Caxias v Interna… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Caxias v Guaraní… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Caxias v São José | 1-1 |
Ypiranga-RS
10.0%
| Feb 09 | Ypirang… v São José | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Ypirang… v Juventu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Ypirang… v Interna… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | Ypirang… v Avenida | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Ypirang… v São Luiz | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Ypirang… v São José | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Ypirang… v Caxias | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Ypirang… v Guaraní… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Ypirang… v São José | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Ypirang… v Juventu… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 05, 2022 | Ypiranga-RS | 2-0 | Caxias |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.