AI Match Insights

New South Wales NPL Mar 15, 2025

St George City FA

Home
VS
08:15

Manly United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
St George City FA Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Manly United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.35 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
St George City FA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Manly United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
St George City FA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 St George… vs Blacktown… 4-2
Aug 25 St George… vs Sydney 1-0
Aug 25 St George… vs Sutherlan… 3-1
Aug 17 St George… vs Central C… 2-0
Aug 17 St George… vs Sutherlan… 0-1
Aug 10 St George… vs Sydney Ol… 0-3
Aug 09 St George… vs Manly Uni… 1-2
Aug 03 St George… vs Hills Bru… 3-1
Aug 03 St George… vs Marconi S… 0-1
Jul 28 St George… vs Central C… 1-1
Manly United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Manly Uni… vs Wollongon… 1-2
Aug 18 Manly Uni… vs Sydney 0-2
Aug 09 Manly Uni… vs St George… 1-2
Aug 03 Manly Uni… vs NWS Spirit 4-2
Jul 26 Manly Uni… vs Sutherlan… 1-2
May 04 Manly Uni… vs St George… 3-1
Jun 24 Manly Uni… vs St George… 1-1
Mar 11 Manly Uni… vs St George… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St George City FA struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Manly United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2024 Manly United 1 - 2 St George City FA New South Wale…
May 04, 2024 St George City FA 3 - 1 Manly United New South Wale…
Jun 24, 2023 St George City FA 1 - 1 Manly United New South Wale…
Mar 11, 2023 Manly United 2 - 0 St George City FA New South Wale…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St George City FA to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St George City FA Power 0
Manly United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.