AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division Jan 23, 2025

Stade Malien Bamako

Home
VS
16:00

Diarra

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Stade Malien Bamako Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Diarra Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.02 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.1
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Malien Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Diarra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Stade Malien Bamako Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 0-0
May 23 Stade Mal… vs Bakaridjan 0-0
May 19 Stade Mal… vs Réal Bama… 1-0
May 09 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 1-0
May 06 Stade Mal… vs Afrique F… 1-0
Apr 17 Stade Mal… vs Binga 3-2
Mar 24 Stade Mal… vs Bougouni 0-0
Mar 17 Stade Mal… vs Djoliba AC 2-1
Jan 28 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 1-1
Jan 21 Stade Mal… vs Bakaridjan 0-2
Diarra Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Diarra vs USFAS Bam… 0-2
Dec 31 Diarra vs Réal Bama… 3-3
Dec 06 Diarra vs ASKO 1-0
Dec 01 Diarra vs Binga 2-2
Nov 23 Diarra vs Bakaridjan 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Malien Bamako Power 0
Diarra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stade Malien Bamako Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Diarra Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.