AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Feb 19, 2023

St. Truiden

Home
VS
18:15

Westerlo

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Westerlo Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.64 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
St. Truiden Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 3-1
Jan 28 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 1-1
Jan 22 St. Truid… vs Gent 0-3
Jan 19 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Jan 06 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
Dec 21 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-4
Oct 22 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 0-0
Oct 19 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 3-0
Oct 15 St. Truid… vs Charleroi 2-1
Oct 07 St. Truid… vs Antwerp 2-0
Westerlo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Westerlo vs Gent 3-3
Jan 28 Westerlo vs Mechelen 2-0
Jan 21 Westerlo vs Zulte War… 1-1
Jan 17 Westerlo vs Gent 2-3
Jan 07 Westerlo vs Cercle Br… 0-1
Nov 09 Westerlo vs Gent 0-1
Oct 18 Westerlo vs Gent 6-1
Oct 01 Westerlo vs Zulte War… 2-0
Sep 11 Westerlo vs Anderlecht 2-1
Aug 07 Westerlo vs Gent 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: St. Truiden to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
St. Truiden Power 0
Westerlo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.