Gaúcho - 1 · Mar 07, 2026 21:00
Monsoon
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Monsoon Form DDLWD
STABLE
Guaraní de Bagé Form DLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS54%
Under 2.540%
Monsoon Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Guaraní de … Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Monsoon
vs
0.90
Guaraní de Bagé
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Monsoon
-1
Gap
#3
Guaraní de …
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Monsoon 10.0%
Feb 06 Monsoon v Guaraní… 0-0
Jan 31 Monsoon v São Luiz 2-2
Jan 25 Monsoon v Juventu… 3-0
Jan 23 Monsoon v São José 1-2
Jan 18 Monsoon v Avenida 0-0
Jan 15 Monsoon v Interna… 0-4
Jan 10 Monsoon v Guaraní… 1-1
Feb 24 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 20 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 15 Monsoon v Interna… 2-0
Guaraní de Bagé 6.0%
Feb 06 Guaraní… v Monsoon 0-0
Jan 31 Guaraní… v Novo Ha… 2-0
Jan 24 Guaraní… v Inter S… 1-0
Jan 22 Guaraní… v Gremio 0-2
Jan 18 Guaraní… v Caxias 4-1
Jan 15 Guaraní… v Ypirang… 1-1
Jan 10 Guaraní… v Monsoon 1-1
Mar 13 Guaraní… v Athleti… 3-1
Feb 26 Guaraní… v Santos 2-1
Feb 23 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 06, 2026 Guaraní de Ba… 0-0 Monsoon
Jan 10, 2026 Guaraní de Ba… 1-1 Monsoon
Feb 07, 2025 Monsoon 1-3 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 13, 2023 Monsoon 0-0 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 06, 2023 Guaraní de Ba… 1-0 Monsoon
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.