AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Feb 08, 2026

Nagoya Grampus

Home
VS
05:00

Shimizu S-Pulse

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Nagoya Grampus Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.21 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nagoya Grampus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Nagoya Grampus Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Nagoya Gr… vs Avispa Fu… 1-0
Nov 30 Nagoya Gr… vs Machida Z… 3-1
Nov 08 Nagoya Gr… vs Kashiwa R… 1-0
Oct 25 Nagoya Gr… vs Gamba Osa… 0-2
Oct 18 Nagoya Gr… vs Yokohama … 2-2
Oct 04 Nagoya Gr… vs Cerezo Os… 2-1
Sep 27 Nagoya Gr… vs Kashima 0-4
Sep 23 Nagoya Gr… vs Albirex N… 0-0
Sep 20 Nagoya Gr… vs Shonan Be… 3-1
Sep 13 Nagoya Gr… vs Fagiano O… 0-1
Shimizu S-Pulse Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Shimizu S… vs Fagiano O… 1-2
Nov 30 Shimizu S… vs Shonan Be… 1-0
Nov 09 Shimizu S… vs Cerezo Os… 1-4
Oct 25 Shimizu S… vs Tokyo Ver… 1-0
Oct 18 Shimizu S… vs Kawasaki … 5-3
Oct 04 Shimizu S… vs FC Tokyo 1-1
Sep 27 Shimizu S… vs Vissel Ko… 2-1
Sep 23 Shimizu S… vs Urawa 0-0
Sep 20 Shimizu S… vs Kyoto San… 0-1
Sep 13 Shimizu S… vs Albirex N… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nagoya Grampus struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Shimizu S-Pulse struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 21, 2025 Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse J1 League
May 03, 2025 Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 3 Nagoya Grampus J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nagoya Grampus to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nagoya Grampus Power 0
Shimizu S-Pulse Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.