AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Feb 08, 2026

Botev Plovdiv

Home
VS
14:45

Beroe

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Botev Plovdiv Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Beroe Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.22 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botev Plovdiv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Botev Plovdiv Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Botev Plo… vs Slavia Pr… 0-2
Dec 06 Botev Plo… vs Lokomotiv… 3-2
Dec 02 Botev Plo… vs Arda Kard… 0-0
Nov 29 Botev Plo… vs Cherno Mo… 2-1
Nov 22 Botev Plo… vs CSKA Sofia 2-1
Nov 07 Botev Plo… vs Dobrudzha 2-1
Nov 01 Botev Plo… vs Lokomotiv… 0-4
Oct 28 Botev Plo… vs Slavia Pr… 0-4
Oct 24 Botev Plo… vs Spartak V… 3-2
Oct 18 Botev Plo… vs Slavia So… 1-1
Beroe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Beroe vs Spartak P… 2-0
Dec 19 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 0-4
Dec 07 Beroe vs Septemvri… 0-0
Dec 03 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 1-2
Nov 29 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Nov 21 Beroe vs Spartak V… 0-0
Nov 08 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Nov 03 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 1-3
Oct 26 Beroe vs CSKA Sofia 5-1
Oct 20 Beroe vs Montana 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beroe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Beroe 1 - 2 Botev Plovdiv First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botev Plovdiv Power 0
Beroe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Botev Plovdiv Position

+2

Position Gap

13

Beroe Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.