AI Match Insights

Première Division Feb 07, 2026

US Bougouba

Home
VS
16:00

Réal Bamako

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
US Bougouba Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Réal Bamako Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.30 - 1.97
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
US Bougouba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Réal Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-2 (20%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
US Bougouba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 US Bougou… vs Diarra 0-0
Jan 23 US Bougou… vs Binga 0-3
Jan 20 US Bougou… vs Bakaridjan 1-1
Jan 15 US Bougou… vs USFAS Bam… 2-2
Jan 11 US Bougou… vs Mali Coura 0-2
Jan 02 US Bougou… vs Bougouni 0-1
Dec 26 US Bougou… vs Onze Créa… 0-0
Dec 21 US Bougou… vs Stade Mal… 0-1
Dec 12 US Bougou… vs Derby Aca… 0-0
Dec 07 US Bougou… vs Djoliba AC 0-1
Réal Bamako Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Réal Bama… vs Afrique F… 2-1
Jan 21 Réal Bama… vs ASKO 1-1
Jan 16 Réal Bama… vs Derby Aca… 0-1
Jan 10 Réal Bama… vs Diarra 0-2
Jan 03 Réal Bama… vs Binga 0-1
Dec 27 Réal Bama… vs Bakaridjan 0-0
Dec 20 Réal Bama… vs USFAS Bam… 2-0
Dec 13 Réal Bama… vs Mali Coura 0-3
Dec 10 Réal Bama… vs Stade Mal… 1-1
Dec 06 Réal Bama… vs Bougouni 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Réal Bamako 3 - 0 US Bougouba Première Divis…
Dec 14, 2024 US Bougouba 1 - 0 Réal Bamako Première Divis…
May 12, 2024 US Bougouba 1 - 2 Réal Bamako Première Divis…
Dec 28, 2023 Réal Bamako 2 - 1 US Bougouba Première Divis…
Jun 08, 2022 US Bougouba 0 - 1 Réal Bamako Première Divis…
Jan 21, 2022 Réal Bamako 0 - 2 US Bougouba Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
US Bougouba Power 0
Réal Bamako Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

US Bougouba Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Réal Bamako Position

Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.