AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
I Liga Feb 08, 2026

Polonia Warszawa

Home
VS
11:00

Stal Mielec

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Polonia Warszawa Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Stal Mielec Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.68 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Polonia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Stal Mielec Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Polonia Warszawa Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Polonia W… vs Tychy 71 1-1
Nov 29 Polonia W… vs Pogoń Sie… 2-0
Nov 23 Polonia W… vs Odra Opole 1-0
Nov 08 Polonia W… vs Wisla Kra… 1-2
Oct 31 Polonia W… vs Górnik Łę… 1-2
Oct 25 Polonia W… vs Polonia B… 2-1
Oct 18 Polonia W… vs Chrobry G… 2-0
Oct 03 Polonia W… vs Stal Rzes… 2-3
Sep 26 Polonia W… vs Śląsk Wro… 1-1
Sep 20 Polonia W… vs Puszcza N… 1-2
Stal Mielec Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Stal Miel… vs Znicz Pru… 1-2
Nov 30 Stal Miel… vs Wisla Kra… 3-0
Nov 22 Stal Miel… vs Polonia B… 4-1
Nov 08 Stal Miel… vs Pogoń Sie… 0-0
Nov 05 Stal Miel… vs Puszcza N… 1-1
Oct 26 Stal Miel… vs Miedź Leg… 1-2
Oct 19 Stal Miel… vs Śląsk Wro… 2-1
Oct 03 Stal Miel… vs Chrobry G… 1-2
Sep 27 Stal Miel… vs Stal Rzes… 3-2
Sep 23 Stal Miel… vs Puszcza N… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Polonia Warszawa in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Stal Mielec struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Stal Mielec 1 - 3 Polonia Warszawa I Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Polonia Warszawa to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Polonia Warszawa Power 0
Stal Mielec Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Polonia Warszawa Position

+6

Position Gap

16

Stal Mielec Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.